2012 NPR to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0549 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.0473 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0504 VEF

2012 NPR to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the NPR to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 6, valuing the pair at 0.0549. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 22, dropping to 0.0473.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0076 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0523 to the December average rate of 0.0491, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.0549 was down 10.15% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.0611, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 274 VEF

2011 Average 291 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 237 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 37.81 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.0551

0.0474

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0516, compared to 0.0491 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0025 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0516

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0491

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0040 VEF (High: 0.0543 / Low: 0.0503). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 VEF (High: 0.0486 / Low: 0.0479).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0040

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0024 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0024

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 0.0544) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.0603), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0059 (-9.79%).

2012 Avg (February) 0.0544

2011 Avg (February) 0.0603

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0543	0.0503	0.0523
February	0.0549	0.0534	0.0544
March	0.0546	0.0524	0.0534
April	0.0530	0.0510	0.0520
May	0.0511	0.0478	0.0496
June	0.0486	0.0473	0.0480
July	0.0495	0.0481	0.0486
August	0.0486	0.0479	0.0483
September	0.0508	0.0482	0.0493
October	0.0519	0.0497	0.0506
November	0.0498	0.0483	0.0490
December	0.0495	0.0487	0.0491