2016 NPR to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0942 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.0573 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0844 VEF

2016 NPR to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NPR to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 2, valuing the pair at 0.0942. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 28, dropping to 0.0573.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0369 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0587 to the December average rate of 0.0920, the exchange rate registered a net change of 56.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0942 was up 46.06% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0645, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 471 VEF

2015 Average 308 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 286 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 184.62 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0974

0.0543

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0759, compared to 0.0929 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0170 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0759

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0929

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0027 VEF (High: 0.0937 / Low: 0.0909). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 VEF (High: 0.0942 / Low: 0.0935).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0027

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.0938) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0632), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0306 (+48.45%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.0938

2015 Avg (April) 0.0632

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0596	0.0580	0.0587
February	0.0585	0.0573	0.0579
March	0.0596	0.0580	0.0591
April	0.0942	0.0935	0.0938
May	0.0941	0.0922	0.0932
June	0.0934	0.0917	0.0926
July	0.0933	0.0925	0.0929
August	0.0935	0.0927	0.0932
September	0.0939	0.0929	0.0934
October	0.0940	0.0933	0.0935
November	0.0937	0.0909	0.0923
December	0.0926	0.0913	0.0920