YEARLY HIGH
22.3405 BTN
YEARLY LOW
19.6200 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
20.7947 BTN

2018 PEN to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PEN to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 22.3405. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 19.6200.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7205 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.7850 to the December average rate of 20.9980, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.13% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 22.3405 was up 7.45% compared to the 2017 peak of 20.7908, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 111,703 BTN
2017 Average 99,784 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 98,100 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,602.54 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

22.3169
19.5548
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.2132, compared to 21.3761 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1629 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.2132
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 21.3761

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 1.2000 BTN (High: 21.7826 / Low: 20.5827). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1667 BTN (High: 21.0553 / Low: 20.8886).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.2000
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1667

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.7900 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7900

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 22.0867) against the same month in 2017 (average: 20.0176), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0691 (+10.34%).

2018 Avg (October) 22.0867
2017 Avg (October) 20.0176

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 19.9375 19.6200 19.7850
February 19.9931 19.6240 19.8148
March 20.2059 19.8254 20.0085
April 20.6260 20.0019 20.3294
May 20.8842 20.3461 20.6210
June 21.0050 20.5144 20.7207
July 21.0553 20.8886 20.9635
August 21.4665 20.9185 21.1384
September 22.0501 21.4664 21.7736
October 22.3405 21.9053 22.0867
November 21.7826 20.5827 21.2967
December 21.4685 20.6006 20.9980