YEARLY HIGH
55.7924 DJF
YEARLY LOW
52.4192 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
54.1284 DJF

2018 PEN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PEN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 55.7924. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 52.4192.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3731 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 55.5686 to the December average rate of 52.9127, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 55.7924 was up 0.22% compared to the 2017 peak of 55.6689, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 278,962 DJF
2017 Average 274,196 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 262,096 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,865.72 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

55.8487
52.4872
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 54.6968, compared to 53.5600 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1368 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 54.6968
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 53.5600

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 1.5287 DJF (High: 55.5827 / Low: 54.0540). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4095 DJF (High: 54.5005 / Low: 54.0910).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.5287
July Spread (Stable) ±0.4095

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.9108 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9108

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 55.5686) against the same month in 2017 (average: 53.5393), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0293 (+3.79%).

2018 Avg (January) 55.5686
2017 Avg (January) 53.5393

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 55.7924 55.1567 55.5686
February 55.5827 54.0540 54.6578
March 55.0373 54.0974 54.4798
April 55.0300 54.3748 54.7631
May 54.6215 53.7452 54.2814
June 54.6661 54.2273 54.4301
July 54.5005 54.0910 54.3256
August 54.5394 53.5649 54.1134
September 54.1134 53.3484 53.8122
October 53.8341 52.8734 53.4287
November 53.0523 52.5849 52.7673
December 53.2853 52.4192 52.9127