2018 PGK to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.3826 SCR

YEARLY LOW

4.0228 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.1444 SCR

2018 PGK to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PGK to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 4.3826. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 4.0228.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3598 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3172 to the December average rate of 4.0620, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.3826 was down 0.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.3959, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,913 SCR

2017 Average 21,292 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 20,114 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,798.78 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.3428

4.0364

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1990, compared to 4.0897 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1093 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1990

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0897

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.2427 SCR (High: 4.3459 / Low: 4.1032). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0306 SCR (High: 4.1383 / Low: 4.1077).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2427

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0306

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0847 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0847

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 4.3172) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.2115), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1058 (+2.51%).

2018 Avg (January) 4.3172

2017 Avg (January) 4.2115

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4.3826	4.2394	4.3172
February	4.3459	4.1032	4.2326
March	4.3685	4.1545	4.2324
April	4.2622	4.1251	4.1510
May	4.2665	4.0924	4.1322
June	4.1676	4.0562	4.1288
July	4.1383	4.1077	4.1204
August	4.1285	4.0936	4.1071
September	4.3146	4.0874	4.1083
October	4.1390	4.0550	4.0742
November	4.0943	4.0462	4.0662
December	4.1489	4.0228	4.0620