YEARLY HIGH
4.8656 SCR
YEARLY LOW
3.6497 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0431 SCR

2019 PGK to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the PGK to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 4.8656. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 11, dropping to 3.6497.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2159 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0581 to the December average rate of 4.0193, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.8656 was up 11.02% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.3826, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,328 SCR
2018 Average 20,720 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 18,249 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,079.62 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.0702
3.9954
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0567, compared to 4.0295 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0273 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0567
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0295

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was November, with a trading range of 1.0767 SCR (High: 4.8656 / Low: 3.7890). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0365 SCR (High: 4.0716 / Low: 4.0350).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.0767
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0365

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0363 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0363

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2019: 4.0460) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.0662), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0202 (-0.50%).

2019 Avg (November) 4.0460
2018 Avg (November) 4.0662

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0808 4.0430 4.0581
February 4.1002 4.0540 4.0640
March 4.1081 4.0390 4.0590
April 4.1266 4.0388 4.0605
May 4.0716 4.0350 4.0535
June 4.0698 4.0286 4.0452
July 4.1307 4.0124 4.0379
August 4.1119 3.6497 4.0016
September 4.0744 3.9668 4.0314
October 4.0664 4.0080 4.0405
November 4.8656 3.7890 4.0460
December 4.0420 3.9741 4.0193