2016 PGK to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1154.4937 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1045.8883 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1091.7897 UGX

2016 PGK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PGK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 18, valuing the pair at 1154.4937. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 1045.8883.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 108.6054 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1142.6494 to the December average rate of 1134.5165, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1154.4937 was down 11.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 1310.5923, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,772,468 UGX

2015 Average 5,846,046 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 5,229,442 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 543,026.86 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1150.9969

1050.8266

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1093.8071, compared to 1089.7723 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.0348 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1093.8071

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1089.7723

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 54.9366 UGX (High: 1149.6351 / Low: 1094.6986). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.2895 UGX (High: 1068.1199 / Low: 1060.8304).

February Spread (Volatile) ±54.9366

August Spread (Stable) ±7.2895

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 30.4439 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -30.4439

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1142.6494) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1096.6485), the exchange rate shifted by +46.0009 (+4.19%).

2016 Avg (January) 1142.6494

2015 Avg (January) 1096.6485

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1154.4937	1121.0394	1142.6494
February	1149.6351	1094.6986	1127.6305
March	1109.3891	1090.9134	1097.1866
April	1091.1313	1054.3999	1070.5794
May	1077.4243	1045.8883	1059.1742
June	1085.9856	1056.4104	1065.6225
July	1075.2984	1060.1769	1068.0860
August	1068.1199	1060.8304	1064.8117
September	1070.8742	1058.5354	1066.5248
October	1093.6493	1064.0046	1082.3805
November	1147.2693	1094.2226	1122.3146
December	1148.3086	1120.4475	1134.5165