2018 PGK to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1193.6911 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1095.4797 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1133.8749 UGX

2018 PGK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PGK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 1193.6911. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 1095.4797.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 98.2114 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1129.4217 to the December average rate of 1103.2017, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1193.6911 was up 3.58% compared to the 2017 peak of 1152.4660, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,968,456 UGX

2017 Average 5,668,846 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 5,477,399 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 491,056.97 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1179.8924

1096.2299

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1141.3350, compared to 1126.4147 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 14.9202 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1141.3350

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1126.4147

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 70.9666 UGX (High: 1190.5392 / Low: 1119.5726). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 12.4688 UGX (High: 1135.4856 / Low: 1123.0167).

July Spread (Volatile) ±70.9666

January Spread (Stable) ±12.4688

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 30.3166 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -30.3166

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1172.9205) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1126.3610), the exchange rate shifted by +46.5596 (+4.13%).

2018 Avg (June) 1172.9205

2017 Avg (June) 1126.3610

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1135.4856	1123.0167	1129.4217
February	1145.7433	1121.3032	1131.3936
March	1144.1966	1120.7857	1133.9329
April	1145.3164	1131.9509	1138.7889
May	1154.7074	1128.5343	1141.5523
June	1193.6911	1137.3724	1172.9205
July	1190.5392	1119.5726	1142.6039
August	1137.1673	1113.0617	1127.2896
September	1153.4319	1132.9523	1144.2745
October	1145.4010	1120.3289	1127.9561
November	1123.3772	1104.1465	1113.1628
December	1113.0081	1095.4797	1103.2017