YEARLY HIGH
5.0369 MDL
YEARLY LOW
4.3561 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6602 MDL

2018 PLN to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PLN to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 5.0369. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 15, dropping to 4.3561.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6809 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9695 to the December average rate of 4.5543, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.0369 was down 0.16% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.0452, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 20,000 PLN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 100,739 MDL
2017 Average 97,749 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 87,122 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,617.04 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.0185
4.4303
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PLN to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.7926, compared to 4.5278 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2648 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.7926
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5278

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.2330 MDL (High: 4.5891 / Low: 4.3561). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1030 MDL (High: 4.6115 / Low: 4.5085).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2330
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1030

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2150 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2150

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 4.9401) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.9248), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0153 (+0.31%).

2018 Avg (February) 4.9401
2017 Avg (February) 4.9248

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0366 4.8697 4.9695
February 5.0369 4.8660 4.9401
March 4.9457 4.7814 4.8548
April 4.8831 4.7257 4.8158
May 4.6777 4.5055 4.6008
June 4.6549 4.4842 4.5747
July 4.5776 4.4707 4.5189
August 4.5891 4.3561 4.4793
September 4.6394 4.4792 4.5530
October 4.6014 4.4539 4.5381
November 4.5588 4.4504 4.5233
December 4.6115 4.5085 4.5543