YEARLY HIGH
0.4266 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.4082 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4199 BAM

2018 RON to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RON to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 0.4266. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 6, dropping to 0.4082.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0184 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4209 to the December average rate of 0.4205, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4266 was down 2.58% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4379, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,133 BAM
2017 Average 2,141 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 2,041 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 92.16 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4212
0.4182
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4200, compared to 0.4197 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0003 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4200
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4197

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0158 BAM (High: 0.4240 / Low: 0.4082). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0052 BAM (High: 0.4225 / Low: 0.4173).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0158
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0052

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0015 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0015

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.4209) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4344), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0135 (-3.12%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.4209
2017 Avg (January) 0.4344

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4266 0.4178 0.4209
February 0.4239 0.4166 0.4199
March 0.4229 0.4176 0.4197
April 0.4222 0.4149 0.4192
May 0.4246 0.4175 0.4210
June 0.4227 0.4100 0.4195
July 0.4247 0.4100 0.4198
August 0.4239 0.4134 0.4207
September 0.4236 0.4108 0.4197
October 0.4218 0.4125 0.4190
November 0.4240 0.4082 0.4185
December 0.4225 0.4173 0.4205