YEARLY HIGH
446.9470 BIF
YEARLY LOW
424.3969 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
434.4768 BIF

2019 RON to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RON to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 446.9470. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 424.3969.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.5501 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 438.0406 to the December average rate of 436.5381, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 446.9470 was down 5.92% compared to the 2018 peak of 475.0536, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,234,735 BIF
2018 Average 2,255,292 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 2,121,985 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 112,750.26 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

441.8318
429.3383
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 434.8802, compared to 434.0734 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8068 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 434.8802
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 434.0734

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 17.6499 BIF (High: 445.0450 / Low: 427.3951). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.8461 BIF (High: 435.0060 / Low: 430.1599).

January Spread (Volatile) ±17.6499
May Spread (Stable) ±4.8461

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 4.6229 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.6229

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 440.7906) against the same month in 2018 (average: 444.0461), the exchange rate shifted by -3.2554 (-0.73%).

2019 Avg (June) 440.7906
2018 Avg (June) 444.0461

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 445.0450 427.3951 438.0406
February 439.4082 428.0800 433.4177
March 438.5518 427.6967 432.4141
April 435.4188 427.9587 432.6063
May 435.0060 430.1599 432.0117
June 446.9470 429.9765 440.7906
July 441.2099 431.6297 437.2668
August 438.6841 427.8611 434.1613
September 435.2599 424.9075 430.3794
October 438.4505 424.3969 432.3241
November 438.5064 429.2162 433.7706
December 441.2032 431.2556 436.5381