YEARLY HIGH
1.0598 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.8322 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9250 BRL

2018 RON to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RON to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 13, valuing the pair at 1.0598. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.8322.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2276 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8414 to the December average rate of 0.9520, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0598 was up 24.25% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.8530, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,299 BRL
2017 Average 3,948 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 4,161 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,138.24 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0467
0.8227
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8897, compared to 0.9603 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0706 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8897
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9603

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1132 BRL (High: 1.0416 / Low: 0.9284). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0214 BRL (High: 0.8536 / Low: 0.8322).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1132
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0214

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1027 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.0281) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8113), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2167 (+26.71%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.0281
2017 Avg (September) 0.8113

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8536 0.8322 0.8414
February 0.8736 0.8499 0.8613
March 0.8869 0.8551 0.8676
April 0.9134 0.8737 0.8975
May 0.9504 0.9032 0.9247
June 0.9881 0.9287 0.9457
July 0.9860 0.9356 0.9603
August 1.0416 0.9284 0.9746
September 1.0598 1.0016 1.0281
October 0.9972 0.8913 0.9254
November 0.9586 0.9032 0.9213
December 0.9628 0.9384 0.9520