YEARLY HIGH
407.1376 CDF
YEARLY LOW
381.5768 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
389.9206 CDF

2019 RON to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RON to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 407.1376. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 381.5768.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.5608 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 396.7330 to the December average rate of 390.2463, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 407.1376 was down 6.05% compared to the 2018 peak of 433.3777, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,035,688 CDF
2018 Average 2,054,556 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 1,907,884 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 127,804.12 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

397.8615
384.3194
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 391.0110, compared to 388.8303 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1807 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 391.0110
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 388.8303

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 18.6737 CDF (High: 407.1376 / Low: 388.4639). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.0483 CDF (High: 389.2469 / Low: 385.1986).

January Spread (Volatile) ±18.6737
May Spread (Stable) ±4.0483

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 5.3310 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.3310

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 396.7330) against the same month in 2018 (average: 420.0045), the exchange rate shifted by -23.2715 (-5.54%).

2019 Avg (January) 396.7330
2018 Avg (January) 420.0045

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 407.1376 388.4639 396.7330
February 396.3547 388.0948 391.4020
March 393.7926 384.2170 388.8139
April 389.7299 383.3245 386.9640
May 389.2469 385.1986 386.6777
June 400.2057 386.7719 395.4751
July 396.6183 388.4932 393.7714
August 394.9224 383.8026 390.0704
September 389.6524 382.3489 386.5821
October 389.9610 381.8150 386.8637
November 388.7380 381.5768 385.4479
December 395.2944 383.6828 390.2463