YEARLY HIGH
25.9521 KES
YEARLY LOW
23.4888 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
25.0238 KES

2016 RON to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RON to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 25.9521. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 23.4888.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4633 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 24.5404 to the December average rate of 23.8350, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 25.9521 was down 4.58% compared to the 2015 peak of 27.1979, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 129,760 KES
2015 Average 122,649 KES
Yearly Trough Low 117,444 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,316.71 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

25.8542
23.6514
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 25.2013, compared to 24.8463 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3551 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 25.2013
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 24.8463

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 1.3109 KES (High: 25.1706 / Low: 23.8598). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2814 KES (High: 25.6627 / Low: 25.3813).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.3109
September Spread (Stable) ±0.2814

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.6238 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6238

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 25.3001) against the same month in 2015 (average: 24.2027), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0975 (+4.53%).

2016 Avg (May) 25.3001
2015 Avg (May) 24.2027

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 24.6496 24.3628 24.5404
February 25.7417 24.5771 25.2597
March 25.7930 24.7465 25.2949
April 25.9036 25.3938 25.6706
May 25.9521 24.8456 25.3001
June 25.5472 24.6999 25.1422
July 25.3630 24.7785 25.0047
August 25.7455 25.2138 25.4814
September 25.6627 25.3813 25.5122
October 25.6072 24.4727 24.8883
November 25.1706 23.8598 24.3560
December 24.3883 23.4888 23.8350