2016 RON to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.5598 VEF

YEARLY LOW

1.5036 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.2353 VEF

2016 RON to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RON to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 2.5598. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 1.5036.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0562 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5153 to the December average rate of 2.3300, the exchange rate registered a net change of 53.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.5598 was up 50.81% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.6973, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,799 VEF

2015 Average 7,890 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 7,518 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,281.01 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.6298

1.4140

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0282, compared to 2.4424 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4142 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0282

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4424

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1327 VEF (High: 2.4699 / Low: 2.3373). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0227 VEF (High: 1.5263 / Low: 1.5036).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1327

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0227

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0633 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0633

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 2.5040) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.5875), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9165 (+57.73%).

2016 Avg (May) 2.5040

2015 Avg (May) 1.5875

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5263	1.5036	1.5153
February	1.5957	1.5172	1.5657
March	1.6040	1.5383	1.5767
April	2.5475	2.5019	2.5285
May	2.5598	2.4580	2.5040
June	2.5193	2.4328	2.4790
July	2.4977	2.4457	2.4641
August	2.5343	2.4822	2.5070
September	2.5274	2.5007	2.5141
October	2.5231	2.4084	2.4508
November	2.4699	2.3373	2.3884
December	2.3864	2.2900	2.3300