YEARLY HIGH
18.6171 BIF
YEARLY LOW
17.0109 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
17.7578 BIF

2018 RSD to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 18.6171. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 15, dropping to 17.0109.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6062 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.1372 to the December average rate of 17.3874, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 18.6171 was up 4.32% compared to the 2017 peak of 17.8455, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 93,085 BIF
2017 Average 80,407 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 85,054 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,031.16 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

18.5422
17.1824
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 18.1077, compared to 17.4079 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6998 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 18.1077
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.4079

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.9006 BIF (High: 18.5457 / Low: 17.6451). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3513 BIF (High: 17.7656 / Low: 17.4143).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.9006
July Spread (Stable) ±0.3513

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.6751 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6751

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 18.4186) against the same month in 2017 (average: 14.5405), the exchange rate shifted by +3.8781 (+26.67%).

2018 Avg (February) 18.4186
2017 Avg (February) 14.5405

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 18.5457 17.6451 18.1372
February 18.6171 18.1624 18.4186
March 18.5869 18.1738 18.4289
April 18.5749 18.1114 18.4005
May 18.1257 17.2818 17.7254
June 17.8119 17.3179 17.5357
July 17.7656 17.4143 17.5475
August 17.5451 17.0109 17.3503
September 17.7552 17.3020 17.4902
October 17.6962 17.0359 17.3762
November 17.5718 17.0714 17.2958
December 17.6678 17.1693 17.3874