YEARLY HIGH
0.2500 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.2195 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2388 HNL

2018 RSD to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 0.2500. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 0.2195.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0305 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2431 to the December average rate of 0.2334, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.2500 was up 4.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2397, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,250 HNL
2017 Average 1,094 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 1,097 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 152.54 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.2478
0.2319
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2428, compared to 0.2349 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0079 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2428
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2349

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0170 HNL (High: 0.2365 / Low: 0.2195). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0029 HNL (High: 0.2393 / Low: 0.2363).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0170
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0029

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0080 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0080

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.2463) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2022), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0441 (+21.80%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.2463
2017 Avg (February) 0.2022

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2474 0.2376 0.2431
February 0.2500 0.2428 0.2463
March 0.2487 0.2445 0.2465
April 0.2484 0.2418 0.2458
May 0.2419 0.2334 0.2378
June 0.2401 0.2352 0.2370
July 0.2393 0.2363 0.2376
August 0.2376 0.2309 0.2346
September 0.2397 0.2346 0.2369
October 0.2360 0.2306 0.2336
November 0.2352 0.2312 0.2333
December 0.2365 0.2195 0.2334