YEARLY HIGH
125.2678 IDR
YEARLY LOW
112.6494 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
119.6735 IDR

2016 RSD to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 9, valuing the pair at 125.2678. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 112.6494.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.6184 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 122.9317 to the December average rate of 114.6207, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 125.2678 was down 9.04% compared to the 2015 peak of 137.7103, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 626,339 IDR
2015 Average 615,820 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 563,247 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 63,092.03 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

124.3357
113.7375
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 121.8302, compared to 117.5168 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.3134 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 121.8302
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 117.5168

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 6.9516 IDR (High: 125.2678 / Low: 118.3162). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.0495 IDR (High: 124.5695 / Low: 122.5199).

February Spread (Volatile) ±6.9516
May Spread (Stable) ±2.0495

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 3.9058 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.9058

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 122.2483) against the same month in 2015 (average: 119.4885), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7599 (+2.31%).

2016 Avg (February) 122.2483
2015 Avg (February) 119.4885

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 124.4707 121.3318 122.9317
February 125.2678 118.3162 122.2483
March 122.4210 116.6546 119.0590
April 123.2049 120.6330 121.6182
May 124.5695 122.5199 123.4525
June 124.6291 118.5053 121.6714
July 118.8314 116.7171 117.7656
August 121.2428 118.1604 119.7056
September 120.5661 117.9910 119.4240
October 119.0481 115.0660 116.7883
November 118.3746 115.3771 116.7964
December 117.3678 112.6494 114.6207