YEARLY HIGH
283.7442 IRR
YEARLY LOW
252.7744 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
271.2043 IRR

2016 RSD to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 3, valuing the pair at 283.7442. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 252.7744.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 30.9698 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 265.9098 to the December average rate of 257.0056, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 283.7442 was down 0.98% compared to the 2015 peak of 286.5428, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,418,721 IRR
2015 Average 1,331,483 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 1,263,872 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 154,849.11 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

281.4288
254.7853
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 274.3293, compared to 268.0792 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.2500 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 274.3293
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 268.0792

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 14.5721 IRR (High: 272.1749 / Low: 257.6028). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.4241 IRR (High: 274.8034 / Low: 272.3792).

November Spread (Volatile) ±14.5721
September Spread (Stable) ±2.4241

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 6.8390 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.8390

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 278.3800) against the same month in 2015 (average: 262.8185), the exchange rate shifted by +15.5615 (+5.92%).

2016 Avg (May) 278.3800
2015 Avg (May) 262.8185

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 268.4126 263.4319 265.9098
February 277.9978 265.6735 272.8677
March 279.7172 265.8734 273.3174
April 282.5719 276.3443 279.2085
May 283.7442 273.0350 278.3800
June 279.6935 270.7820 276.2922
July 275.3046 267.8793 270.6332
August 276.3144 270.6841 273.5837
September 274.8034 272.3792 273.7241
October 274.5855 265.7641 269.6844
November 272.1749 257.6028 263.8446
December 262.2509 252.7744 257.0056