YEARLY HIGH
434.7498 IRR
YEARLY LOW
359.9560 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
405.6415 IRR

2018 RSD to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 434.7498. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 359.9560.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 74.7938 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 370.8122 to the December average rate of 406.4715, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 434.7498 was up 20.18% compared to the 2017 peak of 361.7438, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,173,749 IRR
2017 Average 1,543,373 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 1,799,780 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 373,968.82 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

434.5401
365.0188
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 393.8483, compared to 417.4348 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 23.5865 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 393.8483
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 417.4348

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 49.5428 IRR (High: 424.7110 / Low: 375.1683). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.9087 IRR (High: 394.3582 / Low: 388.4495).

May Spread (Volatile) ±49.5428
March Spread (Stable) ±5.9087

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 12.7302 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -12.7302

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 428.7466) against the same month in 2017 (average: 312.5517), the exchange rate shifted by +116.1949 (+37.18%).

2018 Avg (July) 428.7466
2017 Avg (July) 312.5517

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 386.0914 359.9560 370.8122
February 391.9981 381.4691 386.7908
March 394.3582 388.4495 391.2150
April 393.6220 382.7654 389.5579
May 424.7110 375.1683 405.8424
June 422.4818 414.2122 418.8712
July 434.7498 420.7037 428.7466
August 433.3861 414.9855 423.3784
September 430.1784 421.4480 425.1776
October 422.1497 406.5083 412.4474
November 411.4296 405.4426 408.3872
December 409.3923 401.8219 406.4715