2016 RSD to LRD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8708 LRD

YEARLY LOW

0.7434 LRD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8034 LRD

2016 RSD to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 20, valuing the pair at 0.8708. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 0.7434.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1274 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7585 to the December average rate of 0.7857, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8708 was down 4.53% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9121, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,354 LRD

2015 Average 3,952 LRD

Yearly Trough Low 3,717 LRD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 637.14 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8430

0.7508

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7929, compared to 0.8139 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0210 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7929

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8139

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.0607 LRD (High: 0.8453 / Low: 0.7845). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0110 LRD (High: 0.8375 / Low: 0.8265).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0607

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0110

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0217 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0217

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 0.8353) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8042), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0311 (+3.87%).

2016 Avg (August) 0.8353

2015 Avg (August) 0.8042

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7962	0.7434	0.7585
February	0.7780	0.7493	0.7643
March	0.7836	0.7451	0.7656
April	0.8453	0.7845	0.8122
May	0.8486	0.8155	0.8322
June	0.8349	0.8065	0.8244
July	0.8192	0.8038	0.8109
August	0.8708	0.8123	0.8353
September	0.8375	0.8265	0.8326
October	0.8382	0.7979	0.8203
November	0.8257	0.7790	0.7986
December	0.7957	0.7703	0.7857