YEARLY HIGH
1.5970 LRD
YEARLY LOW
1.2626 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4345 LRD

2018 RSD to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 17, valuing the pair at 1.5970. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 1.2626.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3344 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3051 to the December average rate of 1.5160, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.5970 was up 25.35% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.2740, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,985 LRD
2017 Average 4,903 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 6,313 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,672.18 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.5611
1.2819
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3500, compared to 1.5190 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1691 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3500
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5190

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.1195 LRD (High: 1.4844 / Low: 1.3649). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0204 LRD (High: 1.5248 / Low: 1.5044).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1195
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0204

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0382 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0382

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 1.5378) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8888), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6490 (+73.02%).

2018 Avg (July) 1.5378
2017 Avg (July) 0.8888

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3504 1.2626 1.3051
February 1.3611 1.2784 1.3178
March 1.3786 1.3574 1.3676
April 1.3810 1.3435 1.3615
May 1.3688 1.3221 1.3393
June 1.4844 1.3649 1.4085
July 1.5970 1.4843 1.5378
August 1.5270 1.4777 1.4997
September 1.5785 1.5061 1.5251
October 1.5391 1.4982 1.5195
November 1.5292 1.5070 1.5160
December 1.5248 1.5044 1.5160