2016 RSD to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1855 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.1680 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1789 MDL

2016 RSD to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 0.1855. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.1680.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0176 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1802 to the December average rate of 0.1719, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1855 was down 1.74% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1888, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 928 MDL

2015 Average 862 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 840 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 87.75 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1831

0.1709

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1807, compared to 0.1771 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0036 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1807

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1771

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0078 MDL (High: 0.1758 / Low: 0.1680). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 MDL (High: 0.1804 / Low: 0.1789).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0078

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0039 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0039

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.1821) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1657), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0163 (+9.85%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.1821

2015 Avg (May) 0.1657

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1829	0.1755	0.1802
February	0.1845	0.1772	0.1815
March	0.1813	0.1757	0.1787
April	0.1844	0.1798	0.1814
May	0.1855	0.1803	0.1821
June	0.1829	0.1756	0.1801
July	0.1790	0.1757	0.1775
August	0.1810	0.1777	0.1794
September	0.1804	0.1789	0.1796
October	0.1800	0.1763	0.1781
November	0.1799	0.1732	0.1759
December	0.1758	0.1680	0.1719