YEARLY HIGH
0.1770 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.1593 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1678 MDL

2018 RSD to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 0.1770. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 0.1593.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0177 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1743 to the December average rate of 0.1652, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1770 was down 1.29% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1793, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 885 MDL
2017 Average 857 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 797 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 88.47 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1755
0.1614
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1710, compared to 0.1647 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0062 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1710
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1647

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0066 MDL (High: 0.1659 / Low: 0.1593). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0027 MDL (High: 0.1721 / Low: 0.1694).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0066
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0027

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0040 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0040

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.1740) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1712), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0028 (+1.61%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.1740
2017 Avg (February) 0.1712

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1763 0.1720 0.1743
February 0.1770 0.1713 0.1740
March 0.1755 0.1707 0.1729
April 0.1721 0.1694 0.1708
May 0.1696 0.1654 0.1669
June 0.1684 0.1644 0.1668
July 0.1675 0.1636 0.1655
August 0.1659 0.1593 0.1625
September 0.1679 0.1636 0.1655
October 0.1670 0.1635 0.1650
November 0.1661 0.1625 0.1644
December 0.1671 0.1637 0.1652