2011 RSD to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3451 VUV

YEARLY LOW

1.1437 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2473 VUV

2011 RSD to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the RSD to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 20, valuing the pair at 1.3451. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.1437.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2014 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1951 to the December average rate of 1.1860, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.3451 was down 7.76% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.4583, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,726 VUV

2010 Average 6,273 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 5,719 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,006.89 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.3217

1.1736

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2659, compared to 1.2286 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0373 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2659

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2286

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.1066 VUV (High: 1.3416 / Low: 1.2351). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0465 VUV (High: 1.2587 / Low: 1.2122).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1066

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0465

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0477 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0477

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2011: 1.3093) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.2638), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0455 (+3.60%).

2011 Avg (May) 1.3093

2010 Avg (May) 1.2638

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2286	1.1473	1.1951
February	1.2587	1.2122	1.2346
March	1.3036	1.2337	1.2688
April	1.3417	1.2658	1.3035
May	1.3451	1.2593	1.3093
June	1.3416	1.2351	1.2841
July	1.2774	1.1937	1.2364
August	1.2890	1.2166	1.2540
September	1.2765	1.1879	1.2316
October	1.2784	1.1989	1.2543
November	1.2476	1.1747	1.2095
December	1.2115	1.1437	1.1860