2016 RSD to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0450 VUV

YEARLY LOW

0.9060 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9792 VUV

2016 RSD to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 1.0450. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 0.9060.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1390 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0011 to the December average rate of 0.9244, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0450 was down 2.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0666, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,225 VUV

2015 Average 4,972 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 4,530 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 694.79 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.0311

0.9147

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0049, compared to 0.9534 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0515 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0049

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9534

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0669 VUV (High: 1.0326 / Low: 0.9657). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0162 VUV (High: 0.9773 / Low: 0.9611).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0669

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0162

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0398 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0398

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 1.0214) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9913), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0301 (+3.03%).

2016 Avg (February) 1.0214

2015 Avg (February) 0.9913

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0109	0.9852	1.0011
February	1.0450	0.9932	1.0214
March	1.0108	0.9840	0.9956
April	1.0129	0.9830	0.9968
May	1.0299	0.9982	1.0096
June	1.0326	0.9657	1.0051
July	0.9794	0.9564	0.9653
August	0.9859	0.9569	0.9680
September	0.9773	0.9611	0.9669
October	0.9685	0.9420	0.9561
November	0.9662	0.9241	0.9399
December	0.9409	0.9060	0.9244