YEARLY HIGH
0.6291 ARS
YEARLY LOW
0.3195 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4418 ARS

2018 RUB to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 30, valuing the pair at 0.6291. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 0.3195.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3096 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3355 to the December average rate of 0.5593, the exchange rate registered a net change of 66.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6291 was up 88.94% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.3330, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,146 ARS
2017 Average 1,420 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 1,598 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,548.05 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5948
0.3097
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3623, compared to 0.5212 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1589 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3623
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5212

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1565 ARS (High: 0.5677 / Low: 0.4112). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0098 ARS (High: 0.3586 / Low: 0.3488).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1565
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0098

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0204 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0204

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.5710) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2990), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2720 (+90.97%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.5710
2017 Avg (September) 0.2990

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3501 0.3195 0.3355
February 0.3624 0.3397 0.3488
March 0.3586 0.3488 0.3539
April 0.3528 0.3201 0.3334
May 0.4041 0.3265 0.3780
June 0.4600 0.4006 0.4244
July 0.4597 0.4336 0.4394
August 0.5677 0.4112 0.4492
September 0.6291 0.5297 0.5710
October 0.6076 0.5459 0.5620
November 0.5824 0.5208 0.5464
December 0.5740 0.5420 0.5593