YEARLY HIGH
0.9672 ARS
YEARLY LOW
0.5433 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7453 ARS

2019 RUB to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RUB to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 25, valuing the pair at 0.9672. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.5433.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4239 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5601 to the December average rate of 0.9516, the exchange rate registered a net change of 69.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.9672 was up 53.73% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.6291, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,836 ARS
2018 Average 2,211 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 2,716 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,119.58 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.9907
0.5210
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6359, compared to 0.8547 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2188 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6359
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8547

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.2297 ARS (High: 0.9115 / Low: 0.6818). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0125 ARS (High: 0.9403 / Low: 0.9277).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2297
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0125

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0109 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0109

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 0.9516) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.5593), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3923 (+70.14%).

2019 Avg (December) 0.9516
2018 Avg (December) 0.5593

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5729 0.5433 0.5601
February 0.6040 0.5665 0.5829
March 0.6766 0.6041 0.6328
April 0.7072 0.6468 0.6672
May 0.7005 0.6816 0.6909
June 0.6930 0.6704 0.6815
July 0.6905 0.6548 0.6706
August 0.9115 0.6818 0.7904
September 0.8921 0.8376 0.8719
October 0.9381 0.8797 0.9092
November 0.9403 0.9277 0.9345
December 0.9672 0.9276 0.9516