YEARLY HIGH
0.0288 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.0239 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0265 BGN

2018 RUB to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 0.0288. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 10, dropping to 0.0239.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0049 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0283 to the December average rate of 0.0254, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0288 was down 12.73% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0330, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 144 BGN
2017 Average 149 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 120 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24.32 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0286
0.0245
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0272, compared to 0.0257 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0015 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0272
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0257

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0026 BGN (High: 0.0278 / Low: 0.0252). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 BGN (High: 0.0270 / Low: 0.0264).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0026
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0015 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0015

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0283) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0307), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0024 (-7.93%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0283
2017 Avg (January) 0.0307

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0288 0.0280 0.0283
February 0.0285 0.0274 0.0279
March 0.0281 0.0274 0.0278
April 0.0278 0.0252 0.0262
May 0.0272 0.0257 0.0265
June 0.0270 0.0264 0.0267
July 0.0270 0.0263 0.0266
August 0.0267 0.0246 0.0255
September 0.0257 0.0239 0.0248
October 0.0263 0.0254 0.0259
November 0.0262 0.0254 0.0259
December 0.0260 0.0246 0.0254