YEARLY HIGH
0.0458 GEL
YEARLY LOW
0.0297 GEL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0354 GEL

2016 RUB to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 0.0458. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 0.0297.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0160 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0318 to the December average rate of 0.0428, the exchange rate registered a net change of 34.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0458 was down 4.45% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0479, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 229 GEL
2015 Average 182 GEL
Yearly Trough Low 149 GEL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 80.05 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0439
0.0308
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0331, compared to 0.0378 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0046 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0331
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0378

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0059 GEL (High: 0.0458 / Low: 0.0399). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0010 GEL (High: 0.0343 / Low: 0.0333).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0059
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0010

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0008 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0008

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.0428) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0342), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0086 (+25.17%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.0428
2015 Avg (December) 0.0342

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0330 0.0297 0.0318
February 0.0330 0.0311 0.0322
March 0.0346 0.0331 0.0340
April 0.0343 0.0333 0.0339
May 0.0343 0.0321 0.0331
June 0.0369 0.0319 0.0337
July 0.0373 0.0353 0.0364
August 0.0364 0.0351 0.0357
September 0.0371 0.0349 0.0358
October 0.0382 0.0371 0.0376
November 0.0396 0.0376 0.0383
December 0.0458 0.0399 0.0428