YEARLY HIGH
4.9050 HUF
YEARLY LOW
3.4546 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2206 HUF

2016 RUB to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 4.9050. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 11, dropping to 3.4546.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4504 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7826 to the December average rate of 4.7747, the exchange rate registered a net change of 26.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.9050 was down 12.68% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.6172, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,525 HUF
2015 Average 23,025 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 17,273 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,252.10 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.8903
3.5037
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0077, compared to 4.4336 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4259 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0077
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4336

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.4623 HUF (High: 3.9814 / Low: 3.5191). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1583 HUF (High: 4.3657 / Low: 4.2073).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4623
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1583

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1633 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1633

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 4.7747) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.1245), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6502 (+15.76%).

2016 Avg (December) 4.7747
2015 Avg (December) 4.1245

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.9814 3.5191 3.7826
February 3.7821 3.4546 3.6193
March 4.1123 3.8634 4.0001
April 4.2351 4.0101 4.1286
May 4.2927 4.0831 4.2239
June 4.4617 4.1889 4.2914
July 4.5263 4.2144 4.4149
August 4.3282 4.1625 4.2662
September 4.3657 4.2073 4.2688
October 4.5592 4.3601 4.4434
November 4.5896 4.2872 4.4334
December 4.9050 4.5778 4.7747