YEARLY HIGH
4.5740 HUF
YEARLY LOW
3.9707 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3108 HUF

2018 RUB to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 4.5740. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 10, dropping to 3.9707.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6033 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4716 to the December average rate of 4.1969, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.5740 was down 13.21% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.2703, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,870 HUF
2017 Average 23,522 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 19,854 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,016.36 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.5062
4.0910
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3724, compared to 4.2493 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1231 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3724
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2493

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.4396 HUF (High: 4.4410 / Low: 4.0015). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1042 HUF (High: 4.4750 / Low: 4.3708).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.4396
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1042

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2483 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2483

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 4.4403) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.9634), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5231 (-10.54%).

2018 Avg (February) 4.4403
2017 Avg (February) 4.9634

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5583 4.4228 4.4716
February 4.5740 4.3542 4.4403
March 4.5126 4.3682 4.4324
April 4.4410 4.0015 4.1841
May 4.4356 4.1256 4.3014
June 4.5187 4.3155 4.4045
July 4.4750 4.3708 4.4159
August 4.3784 4.0850 4.2152
September 4.2469 3.9707 4.1256
October 4.3674 4.2124 4.2812
November 4.3151 4.1759 4.2609
December 4.3062 4.0348 4.1969