2014 RUB to LRD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.6846 LRD

YEARLY LOW

1.3350 LRD

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.3332 LRD

2014 RUB to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RUB to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 2.6846. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 1.3350.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3496 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4841 to the December average rate of 1.6336, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 2.6846 was up 5.73% compared to the 2013 peak of 2.5391, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,423 LRD

2013 Average 12,034 LRD

Yearly Trough Low 6,675 LRD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,748.22 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

2.7391

1.5331

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4286, compared to 2.2378 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1908 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4286

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.2378

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.4583 LRD (High: 1.7933 / Low: 1.3350). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0626 LRD (High: 2.4341 / Low: 2.3715).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.4583

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0626

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.3416 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3416

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2014: 2.5605) against the same month in 2013 (average: 2.3279), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2326 (+9.99%).

2014 Avg (June) 2.5605

2013 Avg (June) 2.3279

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.5372	2.4328	2.4841
February	2.4617	2.3733	2.4253
March	2.4278	2.1826	2.2801
April	2.4341	2.3715	2.3924
May	2.4775	2.3608	2.4291
June	2.6846	2.3905	2.5605
July	2.6844	2.5907	2.6386
August	2.5892	2.4684	2.5329
September	2.4753	2.3121	2.4076
October	2.3104	2.1243	2.2387
November	2.1263	1.8315	1.9752
December	1.7933	1.3350	1.6336