YEARLY HIGH
2.5800 LRD
YEARLY LOW
2.0542 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.2906 LRD

2018 RUB to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 17, valuing the pair at 2.5800. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 2.0542.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5258 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2391 to the December average rate of 2.3319, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.5800 was up 18.42% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.1786, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,900 LRD
2017 Average 8,961 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 10,271 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,629.12 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.5024
2.1161
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.2220, compared to 2.3591 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1371 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.2220
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3591

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.2154 LRD (High: 2.3028 / Low: 2.0875). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0409 LRD (High: 2.3127 / Low: 2.2718).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2154
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0409

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1587 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1587

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 2.4703) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.5564), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9138 (+58.71%).

2018 Avg (July) 2.4703
2017 Avg (July) 1.5564

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.2940 2.1778 2.2391
February 2.3441 2.1474 2.2212
March 2.3127 2.2718 2.2944
April 2.3028 2.0875 2.1597
May 2.2356 2.0542 2.1483
June 2.3867 2.2014 2.2692
July 2.5800 2.3778 2.4703
August 2.4064 2.2550 2.3116
September 2.3735 2.1854 2.2916
October 2.4103 2.3357 2.3782
November 2.4081 2.3189 2.3713
December 2.3806 2.2644 2.3319