YEARLY HIGH
5.9277 MRO
YEARLY LOW
4.1304 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.2701 MRO

2016 RUB to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 5.9277. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 4.1304.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7974 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3718 to the December average rate of 5.7746, the exchange rate registered a net change of 32.09% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.9277 was down 6.73% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.3556, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,639 MRO
2015 Average 25,555 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 20,652 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,986.80 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.9149
4.2315
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9535, compared to 5.5868 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6332 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9535
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5868

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.4513 MRO (High: 5.1083 / Low: 4.6569). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1133 MRO (High: 5.7469 / Low: 5.6336).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4513
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1133

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1546 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1546

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 5.7746) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.3518), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4229 (+32.70%).

2016 Avg (December) 5.7746
2015 Avg (December) 4.3518

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5521 4.1304 4.3718
February 4.5420 4.1743 4.4291
March 5.1083 4.6569 4.9222
April 5.3553 5.0109 5.1922
May 5.4529 5.1939 5.3364
June 5.6102 5.3057 5.4696
July 5.6336 5.3413 5.5176
August 5.5739 5.2988 5.4786
September 5.6554 5.4018 5.5181
October 5.7469 5.6336 5.6930
November 5.6456 5.4323 5.5385
December 5.9277 5.5637 5.7746