YEARLY HIGH
6.3866 MRO
YEARLY LOW
3.1199 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6850 MRO

2018 RUB to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 6.3866. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 8, dropping to 3.1199.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.2667 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.2635 to the December average rate of 5.2823, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.3866 was down 0.90% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.4446, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,933 MRO
2017 Average 30,874 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 15,599 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,333.30 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.3624
5.1765
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9953, compared to 5.3746 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6208 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9953
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3746

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 2.3671 MRO (High: 5.4870 / Low: 3.1199). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1523 MRO (High: 6.3067 / Low: 6.1544).

October Spread (Volatile) ±2.3671
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1523

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.3695 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3695

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 6.2505) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.1453), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1052 (+1.71%).

2018 Avg (February) 6.2505
2017 Avg (February) 6.1453

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.3488 6.1487 6.2635
February 6.3866 6.0823 6.2505
March 6.3067 6.1544 6.2255
April 6.2208 5.6483 5.8559
May 5.8125 5.5811 5.7082
June 5.7629 5.5676 5.6684
July 5.7614 5.5831 5.6657
August 5.6527 5.2247 5.3721
September 5.4521 5.0580 5.2858
October 5.4870 3.1199 5.2753
November 5.4428 5.2542 5.3663
December 5.3839 5.1291 5.2823