2014 RUB to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.0116 NPR

YEARLY LOW

1.4680 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.5890 NPR

2014 RUB to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RUB to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 3.0116. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 1.4680.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5436 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9488 to the December average rate of 1.7923, the exchange rate registered a net change of -39.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 3.0116 was down 6.31% compared to the 2013 peak of 3.2145, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,058 NPR

2013 Average 14,686 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 7,340 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,718.14 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

3.0644

1.6766

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7830, compared to 2.3950 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3881 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7830

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3950

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.5069 NPR (High: 1.9749 / Low: 1.4680). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0581 NPR (High: 2.7540 / Low: 2.6958).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.5069

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0581

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.3435 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3435

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 2.9488) against the same month in 2013 (average: 2.8711), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0777 (+2.70%).

2014 Avg (January) 2.9488

2013 Avg (January) 2.8711

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.0116	2.8520	2.9488
February	2.8820	2.7492	2.8253
March	2.7486	2.6750	2.7029
April	2.7317	2.6676	2.7094
May	2.7540	2.6958	2.7303
June	2.8578	2.7065	2.7817
July	2.8269	2.6995	2.7704
August	2.7298	2.6247	2.6961
September	2.6404	2.4955	2.5671
October	2.4912	2.2955	2.4081
November	2.2970	1.9882	2.1357
December	1.9749	1.4680	1.7923