YEARLY HIGH
1.8043 NPR
YEARLY LOW
1.3222 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6113 NPR

2016 RUB to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 1.8043. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 1.3222.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4821 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4071 to the December average rate of 1.7505, the exchange rate registered a net change of 24.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.8043 was down 12.77% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.0685, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,021 NPR
2015 Average 8,456 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 6,611 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,410.56 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.7848
1.3728
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5384, compared to 1.6842 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1458 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5384
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6842

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1355 NPR (High: 1.4577 / Low: 1.3222). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0312 NPR (High: 1.7187 / Low: 1.6875).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1355
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0312

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0296 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0296

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.7505) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.5170), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2335 (+15.39%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.7505
2015 Avg (December) 1.5170

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4577 1.3222 1.4071
February 1.4539 1.3686 1.4143
March 1.5799 1.4716 1.5332
April 1.6410 1.5483 1.5976
May 1.6430 1.5983 1.6237
June 1.6941 1.6111 1.6547
July 1.7096 1.6141 1.6707
August 1.6762 1.6005 1.6501
September 1.6914 1.6275 1.6560
October 1.7187 1.6875 1.7038
November 1.7087 1.6289 1.6742
December 1.8043 1.7011 1.7505