2016 RUB to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2223 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.1561 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1990 SCR

2016 RUB to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 0.2223. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 0.1561.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0662 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1711 to the December average rate of 0.2159, the exchange rate registered a net change of 26.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2223 was down 18.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2735, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,112 SCR

2015 Average 1,099 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 781 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 331.01 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2204

0.1666

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1900, compared to 0.2080 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0180 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1900

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2080

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0249 SCR (High: 0.1811 / Low: 0.1561). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0058 SCR (High: 0.2142 / Low: 0.2084).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0249

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0058

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0049 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0049

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.2159) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1825), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0334 (+18.30%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.2159

2015 Avg (December) 0.1825

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1811	0.1561	0.1711
February	0.1829	0.1652	0.1735
March	0.2020	0.1813	0.1903
April	0.2167	0.1918	0.2019
May	0.2086	0.1975	0.2021
June	0.2070	0.1952	0.2012
July	0.2108	0.1995	0.2045
August	0.2092	0.1978	0.2040
September	0.2118	0.1992	0.2055
October	0.2142	0.2084	0.2115
November	0.2107	0.2008	0.2067
December	0.2223	0.2076	0.2159