2016 RWF to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.2654 BIF

YEARLY LOW

1.9879 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0733 BIF

2016 RWF to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RWF to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 2.2654. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 22, dropping to 1.9879.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2776 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0852 to the December average rate of 2.0303, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.2654 was down 1.69% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.3043, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RWF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,327 BIF

2015 Average 11,004 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 9,939 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,387.79 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.1612

2.0184

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RWF to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0683, compared to 2.0782 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0099 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0683

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0782

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.2542 BIF (High: 2.2654 / Low: 2.0112). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0372 BIF (High: 2.0955 / Low: 2.0583).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.2542

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0372

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0534 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0534

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 2.1061) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.2160), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1098 (-4.96%).

2016 Avg (June) 2.1061

2015 Avg (June) 2.2160

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.1011	2.0638	2.0852
February	2.0964	2.0456	2.0689
March	2.0930	2.0086	2.0600
April	2.0678	1.9879	2.0405
May	2.0914	2.0195	2.0491
June	2.2654	2.0112	2.1061
July	2.2102	2.1013	2.1493
August	2.1248	2.0560	2.0959
September	2.0955	2.0583	2.0775
October	2.1012	2.0371	2.0678
November	2.0944	2.0355	2.0484
December	2.0602	2.0026	2.0303