2016 SBD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

464.8615 UGX

YEARLY LOW

411.5485 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

431.8929 UGX

2016 SBD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SBD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 464.8615. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 27, dropping to 411.5485.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 53.3129 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 423.1064 to the December average rate of 456.3327, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 464.8615 was up 0.33% compared to the 2015 peak of 463.3288, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,324,307 UGX

2015 Average 2,058,165 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,057,743 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 266,564.71 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

459.8213

417.9576

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SBD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 424.7043, compared to 439.0814 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 14.3771 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 424.7043

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 439.0814

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 16.2000 UGX (High: 464.8615 / Low: 448.6614). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.5651 UGX (High: 433.5589 / Low: 428.9938).

December Spread (Volatile) ±16.2000

August Spread (Stable) ±4.5651

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.9004 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.9004

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 456.3327) against the same month in 2015 (average: 415.0404), the exchange rate shifted by +41.2923 (+9.95%).

2016 Avg (December) 456.3327

2015 Avg (December) 415.0404

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	427.9996	415.2125	423.1064
February	427.6533	411.5485	421.9346
March	428.7572	412.6067	421.7351
April	429.3992	413.5282	421.4463
May	434.1781	425.2066	428.8367
June	437.5113	428.5081	431.1669
July	431.5972	425.8293	428.2664
August	433.5589	428.9938	430.9603
September	435.0659	427.7763	431.3454
October	441.6845	432.5645	437.4338
November	456.2830	440.9506	450.1498
December	464.8615	448.6614	456.3327