YEARLY HIGH
466.1970 UGX
YEARLY LOW
436.5344 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
447.1640 UGX

2021 SBD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SBD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 466.1970. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 436.5344.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 29.6626 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 461.1385 to the December average rate of 439.5195, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 466.1970 was down 1.68% compared to the 2020 peak of 474.1558, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,330,985 UGX
2020 Average 2,257,773 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,182,672 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 148,313.09 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

463.4485
435.7292
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SBD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 453.5151, compared to 440.8129 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 12.7021 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 453.5151
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 440.8129

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 13.5594 UGX (High: 462.6891 / Low: 449.1297). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.8904 UGX (High: 441.0660 / Low: 438.1757).

March Spread (Volatile) ±13.5594
August Spread (Stable) ±2.8904

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 8.4021 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.4021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 461.1385) against the same month in 2020 (average: 444.1442), the exchange rate shifted by +16.9943 (+3.83%).

2021 Avg (January) 461.1385
2020 Avg (January) 444.1442

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 466.1970 456.7908 461.1385
February 459.8487 456.0736 458.1390
March 462.6891 449.1297 459.0890
April 458.6587 449.2206 454.2004
May 451.6922 442.7151 445.7983
June 444.6760 440.7690 442.7252
July 443.9748 439.8048 441.6721
August 441.0660 438.1757 439.3072
September 441.6340 436.5344 438.0391
October 450.9276 439.0280 444.3566
November 444.8118 438.7885 441.9832
December 442.4141 436.8547 439.5195