YEARLY HIGH
5.4448 AFN
YEARLY LOW
4.7989 AFN
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1097 AFN

2016 SCR to AFN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to AFN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 5.4448. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 4.7989.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6459 AFN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2453 to the December average rate of 4.9633, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.4448 was down 1.24% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.5130, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,224 AFN
2015 Average 23,069 AFN
Yearly Trough Low 23,995 AFN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,229.65 AFN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.3115
4.9316
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to AFN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1787, compared to 5.0407 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1380 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1787
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0407

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.6071 AFN (High: 5.4060 / Low: 4.7989). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1159 AFN (High: 5.0395 / Low: 4.9236).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.6071
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1159

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1367 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1367

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 5.2798) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.4851), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7947 (+17.72%).

2016 Avg (June) 5.2798
2015 Avg (June) 4.4851

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.3485 5.0117 5.2453
February 5.4060 4.7989 5.1450
March 5.2671 5.0589 5.1538
April 5.3503 4.8444 5.0962
May 5.2803 4.9564 5.1521
June 5.4448 5.1580 5.2798
July 5.3892 5.0945 5.2209
August 5.2046 4.9636 5.0842
September 5.1449 4.9232 5.0317
October 5.0395 4.9236 4.9723
November 5.0785 4.9038 4.9719
December 5.0434 4.8905 4.9633