YEARLY HIGH
5.5902 AFN
YEARLY LOW
4.6760 AFN
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.3166 AFN

2018 SCR to AFN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to AFN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 17, valuing the pair at 5.5902. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 18, dropping to 4.6760.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9142 AFN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0166 to the December average rate of 5.5280, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.5902 was up 7.44% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.2032, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,951 AFN
2017 Average 25,014 AFN
Yearly Trough Low 23,380 AFN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,570.92 AFN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.6027
4.9633
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to AFN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1629, compared to 5.4702 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3072 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1629
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4702

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.9087 AFN (High: 5.5847 / Low: 4.6760). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0972 AFN (High: 5.4109 / Low: 5.3137).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.9087
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0972

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0310 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0310

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 5.4940) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.0311), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4629 (+9.20%).

2018 Avg (September) 5.4940
2017 Avg (September) 5.0311

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1205 4.9295 5.0166
February 5.2452 4.9611 5.0949
March 5.1768 4.9238 5.0915
April 5.2300 5.0400 5.1940
May 5.3403 5.0749 5.2686
June 5.4144 5.2757 5.3121
July 5.4394 5.2797 5.3795
August 5.4109 5.3137 5.3515
September 5.5902 5.2769 5.4940
October 5.5842 5.4583 5.5494
November 5.5847 4.6760 5.5185
December 5.5752 5.3765 5.5280