2016 SCR to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

9.9411 ALL

YEARLY LOW

8.5923 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

9.3556 ALL

2016 SCR to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 18, valuing the pair at 9.9411. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 8.5923.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3488 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.7195 to the December average rate of 9.5802, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 9.9411 was down 6.57% compared to the 2015 peak of 10.6399, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 49,706 ALL

2015 Average 47,362 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 42,962 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,743.99 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

9.7809

9.0438

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.3426, compared to 9.3686 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0259 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.3426

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.3686

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.0980 ALL (High: 9.6903 / Low: 8.5923). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2524 ALL (High: 9.3778 / Low: 9.1254).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.0980

September Spread (Stable) ±0.2524

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.4035 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4035

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 9.7195) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.6493), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0702 (+12.37%).

2016 Avg (January) 9.7195

2015 Avg (January) 8.6493

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9.9411	9.3182	9.7195
February	9.6903	8.5923	9.3160
March	9.6704	9.0073	9.3471
April	9.5912	8.6729	9.1052
May	9.5151	8.7557	9.1848
June	9.8388	9.0558	9.3832
July	9.7017	9.1455	9.3762
August	9.3781	9.0115	9.2140
September	9.3778	9.1254	9.2384
October	9.5117	9.1682	9.3560
November	9.7050	9.1755	9.4467
December	9.7999	9.4318	9.5802