YEARLY HIGH
8.1558 ALL
YEARLY LOW
7.5304 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.9354 ALL

2018 SCR to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 15, valuing the pair at 8.1558. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 7.5304.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6254 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.8688 to the December average rate of 7.9357, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.1558 was down 17.51% compared to the 2017 peak of 9.8873, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,779 ALL
2017 Average 43,829 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 37,652 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,126.94 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.0544
7.7754
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.8903, compared to 7.9805 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0902 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.8903
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.9805

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.5642 ALL (High: 8.1316 / Low: 7.5674). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0821 ALL (High: 8.0027 / Low: 7.9206).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.5642
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0821

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0976 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0976

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 8.0151) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.2602), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2451 (-2.97%).

2018 Avg (August) 8.0151
2017 Avg (August) 8.2602

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.0644 7.6062 7.8688
February 8.0897 7.6499 7.8962
March 7.9686 7.5448 7.7987
April 7.9129 7.5883 7.8202
May 8.1316 7.5674 7.9606
June 8.0701 7.8261 7.9972
July 8.0027 7.9206 7.9588
August 8.1558 7.9128 8.0151
September 8.0410 7.5304 7.9556
October 8.0889 7.8166 7.9865
November 8.1023 7.9706 8.0311
December 8.0460 7.7366 7.9357