YEARLY HIGH
0.3227 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.2333 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2630 BRL

2016 SCR to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.3227. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 10, dropping to 0.2333.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0894 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3092 to the December average rate of 0.2507, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3227 was up 0.66% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3206, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,613 BRL
2015 Average 1,258 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 1,167 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 446.85 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3160
0.2343
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2792, compared to 0.2467 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0326 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2792
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2467

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0352 BRL (High: 0.3137 / Low: 0.2785). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0095 BRL (High: 0.2499 / Low: 0.2404).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0352
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0095

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0188 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0188

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.3092) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1895), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1197 (+63.17%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.3092
2015 Avg (January) 0.1895

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3227 0.2921 0.3092
February 0.3137 0.2785 0.2966
March 0.2942 0.2651 0.2778
April 0.2788 0.2471 0.2645
May 0.2770 0.2522 0.2656
June 0.2716 0.2500 0.2618
July 0.2573 0.2433 0.2489
August 0.2475 0.2333 0.2424
September 0.2499 0.2404 0.2456
October 0.2461 0.2342 0.2411
November 0.2605 0.2375 0.2512
December 0.2629 0.2413 0.2507