2018 SCR to CNY Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5115 CNY

YEARLY LOW

0.4485 CNY

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4858 CNY

2018 SCR to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 31, valuing the pair at 0.5115. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 0.4485.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0629 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4619 to the December average rate of 0.5040, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.5115 was down 4.05% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5330, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,557 CNY

2017 Average 2,489 CNY

Yearly Trough Low 2,243 CNY

Transaction Impact: A difference of 314.65 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5128

0.4573

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4680, compared to 0.5035 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0354 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4680

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5035

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0257 CNY (High: 0.5057 / Low: 0.4801). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0054 CNY (High: 0.5105 / Low: 0.5052).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0257

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0042 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0042

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 0.5070) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4839), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0231 (+4.77%).

2018 Avg (October) 0.5070

2017 Avg (October) 0.4839

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4739	0.4485	0.4619
February	0.4740	0.4499	0.4645
March	0.4714	0.4486	0.4635
April	0.4711	0.4563	0.4675
May	0.4773	0.4517	0.4722
June	0.4895	0.4721	0.4786
July	0.5019	0.4887	0.4958
August	0.5103	0.5005	0.5037
September	0.5057	0.4801	0.5022
October	0.5115	0.4946	0.5070
November	0.5105	0.5052	0.5082
December	0.5101	0.4954	0.5040