YEARLY HIGH
22.6959 HUF
YEARLY LOW
19.1981 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
21.2143 HUF

2016 SCR to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 22.6959. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 19.1981.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4978 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.1243 to the December average rate of 22.1177, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 22.6959 was down 5.09% compared to the 2015 peak of 23.9136, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 113,480 HUF
2015 Average 105,091 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 95,990 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,489.25 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

22.2903
20.2983
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 21.1192, compared to 21.3093 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1901 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 21.1192
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 21.3093

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 2.4279 HUF (High: 21.6260 / Low: 19.1981). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6217 HUF (High: 21.1234 / Low: 20.5017).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.4279
September Spread (Stable) ±0.6217

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.2559 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2559

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 22.1243) against the same month in 2015 (average: 19.5236), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6007 (+13.32%).

2016 Avg (January) 22.1243
2015 Avg (January) 19.5236

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 22.6959 20.9695 22.1243
February 21.6260 19.1981 20.8684
March 21.5444 20.3473 21.0254
April 21.6253 19.5434 20.4643
May 21.6639 19.9587 20.9023
June 22.6834 20.6271 21.3306
July 22.3817 20.8441 21.5902
August 21.4453 20.4902 20.9113
September 21.1234 20.5017 20.7768
October 21.5698 20.5820 21.0054
November 22.1973 20.5333 21.4546
December 22.5667 21.7479 22.1177