2018 SCR to HUF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

21.0599 HUF

YEARLY LOW

17.6490 HUF

YEARLY AVERAGE

19.8484 HUF

2018 SCR to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 21.0599. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 17.6490.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4110 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.2126 to the December average rate of 20.7410, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 21.0599 was down 7.39% compared to the 2017 peak of 22.7411, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 105,300 HUF

2017 Average 100,992 HUF

Yearly Trough Low 88,245 HUF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,054.81 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

21.0205

17.9574

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 19.0847, compared to 20.6121 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.5274 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 19.0847

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.6121

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 1.8269 HUF (High: 20.6708 / Low: 18.8439). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5365 HUF (High: 21.0599 / Low: 20.5234).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.8269

November Spread (Stable) ±0.5365

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1664 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1664

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 20.7653) against the same month in 2017 (average: 19.2123), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5530 (+8.08%).

2018 Avg (November) 20.7653

2017 Avg (November) 19.2123

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	18.7229	17.6937	18.2126
February	18.9411	17.6490	18.5470
March	18.8485	17.8500	18.5622
April	19.2923	18.2081	18.8529
May	20.6708	18.8439	19.8699
June	20.9806	20.0369	20.4637
July	20.9342	20.1883	20.4875
August	21.0550	20.2593	20.5912
September	20.7814	19.3785	20.4248
October	21.0397	20.1882	20.6627
November	21.0599	20.5234	20.7653
December	20.9802	20.3209	20.7410